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Twenty-five years ago no one listened to Bill James either??-- Stan Conte Since he knows it's coming he brings up before he's asked about him It's a wound Conte wears on his home screen Every time he fires up the Internet on his laptop it loads the career statistics of Schmidt the $47 million pitcher he signed off on five years ago whose previously injured right shoulder lasted a total of 43 innings for Los Angeles "It was obviously one we got wrong" Conte says "But it's also pushed me personally like 'How can we do better'"Avoiding injuries at a better clip than the competition has been Conte's difficult quest since 1996 when Sabean took over the Giants and handed Conte a veteran team high on injuries and low on cash Conte looked to see whether he could help lower the team's injury rates which led him to surmise how San Francisco's DL stacked up to that of other teams Trouble was nobody kept those kinds of records "USA Today published a list of guys put on the DL every Tuesday butthat was it" says Conte "This was before everything was on the Internet so I was trying to track down every paper copy of that newspaper I could find"Then one day a frustrated Conte was in the Giants CFO's office and noticed a big red book on his desk from an insurance company in Cincinnati "It was literally called the Red Book" Conte recalls "So I ask our CFO 'What the hell is this' And he says 'Oh the company does a bunch of stuff and they send it out every year' I look inside and it had everything: time lost DL dates dollars lost It was unbelievable" Conte immediately called the company to get everyedition he could get his hands on "At that point I was the only trainer interested in any of this stuff" he saysAfter reviewing the data Conte couldn't believe what he'd found Though most teams had full strength-and-conditioning programs for the first time injury rates had increased every season from 1989 to 1999 He published his findings in The American Journal of Sports Medicine and gave a lecture on the topic at baseball's 2001 winter meetingsOther trainers were angry; they did not want to hear evidence that they might be getting worse at their jobs "I was basically run out of there" Conte says Conte knew perhaps better than anyone that rising injury rates were likely not a trainer's fault Injury numbers in baseball peaked in 2001 dipped the following year then plateaued until 2006 They've been higher ever since Conte says he has theories why but he won't discuss them But industry experts have noted that the window of lower rates could mark the peak of performance-enhancing drugs which are thought to accelerate recovery The Giants whose clubhouse during Conte's years was no stranger to steroids were among those whose injury rates fell (Conte won't expound on the Mitchell Report but it paints him as a whistle-blower who repeatedly tried to get players' private trainers off the premises)Post-steroids as injury rates climbed again Conte says he "began to realize that player selection was maybe more important than I previously thought" So instead of collecting only raw injury data Conte started evaluating individual players through risk-management systems not unlike what a life-insurance actuary uses plugging in variables such as age position service time and past injuries to determine the odds each would hit the DLThere are many hurdles to accurate prognosticating Conte's research deals in percentages More a weatherman than a psychic he can tell you that $22 million was lost in 2011 to oblique injuries that took an average healing time of 35 days for pitchers and 26 days for position players He also knows that players almost always injure the oblique on the side they lead with (left for righthanders and vice versa) and that hitters account for 56 percent of those injuries Finally he can say that a player put on the DL with that malady has a 122 percent chance of being DL'd with it again It's with numbers like this however that trouble starts Due to a lack of data Conte has no way of isolating other variables that predict aggravation of the injuryNor is there any way to predict a guy taking a fastball off the hand For every Schmidt whose history signaled risks there's a the 2006 NL Cy Young winner who was so dominant four years ago that any team in baseball would have given him a long-term deal "I've looked through his history a hundred times and he was almost perfect" Conte says "No indication whatsoever he was going tobreak down" Webb has thrown exactly four innings since Case studies like Webb's keep Conte up at night "He's incredibly hard on himself" says Colletti his GM "nike nfl jerseys china,born baby toys india--nike nfl jerseys china,born baby toys india,cheap world cup jerseys sold in us ,Nike nfl jerseys 2012 We are a discount Cheap/Wholesale Nike NFL Jerseys,NHL Jerseys,MLB Jerseys,NBA Jerseys,NFL Jerseys,NCAA Jerseys,Custom Jerseys,Eagles Jerseys,Soccer Jerseys,Sports Caps for sale.The San Diego Chargers are shopping former first-round pick Antonio Cromartie, according for more information about ESPN????s Chris Mortensen. 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